Pawlak, Pawel are the favourites based on current odds.
Khalidov, Mamed (Away team) odds offer the highest possible win at 2.06 odds. If you bet €100 on Khalidov, Mamed you can win €206.00.
Betting on Pawlak, Pawel (Home team) is the safest option with odds at 1.68. If you bet €100 you can potentially win €168.00.
Pawlak, Pawel vs Khalidov, Mamed – KSW 117 Match Prediction
KSW | KSW 117 | Mixed Martial Arts
Ahead of this KSW 117 fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for Pawlak, Pawel vs Khalidov, Mamed.
Outcome: Pawlak, Pawel Win | Probability: 55.1
Outcome: Khalidov, Mamed Win | Probability: 44.9
In this format there is no draw — one side will win.
Who Is Favoured between Pawlak, Pawel vs Khalidov, Mamed?
Our model gives Pawlak, Pawel the clear edge in this Mixed Martial Arts matchup, with a 55.1 probability of victory. Khalidov, Mamed come in at 44.9 — a genuine chance, and one that reflects a competitive fixture even if the numbers favour their opponents.
With no draw possible in this format, the gap between these two sides is brought into sharper focus. Pawlak, Pawel's 55.1 rating represents a meaningful but not overwhelming advantage — this is not a foregone conclusion.
What's Driving the Prediction?
Prediction models for KSW 117 Mixed Martial Arts fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, offensive and defensive output metrics, player and roster availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.
These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. Pawlak, Pawel's 55.1 reflects an overall stronger statistical profile heading into this matchup. However, with Khalidov, Mamed at 44.9, the gap is narrow enough to make an upset entirely plausible.
Betting Angles to Consider
Based on the model output for Pawlak, Pawel vs Khalidov, Mamed: Pawlak, Pawel to win is the percentage-backed selection at 55.1 and represents the straightforward model play. Khalidov, Mamed at 44.9 offers potential value as the underdog, particularly if the odds available overstate the gap between the two sides.
Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.
Quick Match Summary
Match: Pawlak, Pawel vs Khalidov, Mamed
Sport: Mixed Martial Arts
Country: KSW
League: KSW 117
Favourite: Pawlak, Pawel (55.1)
Underdog: Khalidov, Mamed (44.9)
Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.