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All Elite Wrestling · AEW: Revolution 2026

Moxley, Jon vs Takeshita, Konosuke

Moxley, Jon1.83
VS
Monday 16 March
00:00
Takeshita, Konosuke1.83
Win Probabilityimplied from market odds
50%
Moxley, Jon
1.83
50%
Takeshita, Konosuke
1.83

This match is evenly matched according to the odds.

Highest Possible Win

Moxley, Jon (Home team) odds offer the highest possible win at 1.83 odds. If you bet €100 on Moxley, Jon you can win 183.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on Moxley, Jon (Home team) is the safest option with odds at 1.83. If you bet €100 you can potentially win 183.00.

Betting Prediction

Moxley, Jon vs Takeshita, Konosuke Prediction & Betting Tips | AEW: Revolution 2026 Pro Wrestling being played on Monday 16 March at 00:00

Moxley, Jon vs Takeshita, Konosuke – AEW: Revolution 2026 Match Prediction

All Elite Wrestling | AEW: Revolution 2026 | Pro Wrestling

Ahead of this AEW: Revolution 2026 fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for Moxley, Jon vs Takeshita, Konosuke.

Outcome: Moxley, Jon Win | Probability: 50.0

Outcome: Takeshita, Konosuke Win | Probability: 50.0

In this format there is no draw — one side will win.

Who Is Favoured between Moxley, Jon vs Takeshita, Konosuke?

Our model gives Moxley, Jon the clear edge in this Pro Wrestling matchup, with a 50.0 probability of victory. Takeshita, Konosuke come in at 50.0 — a genuine chance, and one that reflects a competitive fixture even if the numbers favour their opponents.

With no draw possible in this format, the gap between these two sides is brought into sharper focus. Moxley, Jon's 50.0 rating represents a meaningful but not overwhelming advantage — this is not a foregone conclusion.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for AEW: Revolution 2026 Pro Wrestling fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, offensive and defensive output metrics, player and roster availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. Moxley, Jon's 50.0 reflects an overall stronger statistical profile heading into this matchup. However, with Takeshita, Konosuke at 50.0, the gap is narrow enough to make an upset entirely plausible.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for Moxley, Jon vs Takeshita, Konosuke: Moxley, Jon to win is the percentage-backed selection at 50.0 and represents the straightforward model play. Takeshita, Konosuke at 50.0 offers potential value as the underdog, particularly if the odds available overstate the gap between the two sides.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary

Match: Moxley, Jon vs Takeshita, Konosuke

Sport: Pro Wrestling

Country: All Elite Wrestling

League: AEW: Revolution 2026

Favourite: Moxley, Jon (50.0)

Underdog: Takeshita, Konosuke (50.0)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.